Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.037942 0.040944 0.044093 0.047648 0.051556 0.055727 0.060524
2025-05-11 0.032979 0.037197 0.041866 0.047438 0.053932 0.061294 0.070317
2025-05-18 0.029587 0.034484 0.040124 0.047143 0.055705 0.065882 0.079008
2025-05-25 0.027162 0.032499 0.038848 0.047026 0.057381 0.070193 0.087453
2025-06-01 0.024971 0.030530 0.037321 0.046324 0.058092 0.073157 0.094236
2025-06-08 0.023067 0.028727 0.035802 0.045418 0.058343 0.075395 0.100078
2025-06-15 0.021627 0.027388 0.034739 0.044962 0.059058 0.078189 0.106781
2025-06-22 0.020394 0.026218 0.033792 0.044547 0.059734 0.080890 0.113475
2025-06-29 0.019143 0.024940 0.032604 0.043692 0.059684 0.082495 0.118606
2025-07-06 0.018497 0.024431 0.032413 0.044185 0.061546 0.086938 0.128329
2025-07-13 0.017748 0.023731 0.031904 0.044173 0.062635 0.090265 0.136544
2025-07-20 0.017240 0.023334 0.031789 0.044704 0.064541 0.094929 0.147264
2025-07-27 0.016519 0.022605 0.031168 0.044459 0.065257 0.097812 0.155350
2025-08-03 0.015877 0.021958 0.030629 0.044297 0.066079 0.100905 0.164054
2025-08-10 0.015256 0.021310 0.030051 0.044033 0.066705 0.103693 0.172444
2025-08-17 0.014724 0.020765 0.029597 0.043926 0.067562 0.106901 0.181854
2025-08-24 0.014091 0.020041 0.028833 0.043280 0.067473 0.108465 0.188322
2025-08-31 0.013454 0.019283 0.027984 0.042446 0.067006 0.109317 0.193482
2025-09-07 0.012958 0.018720 0.027409 0.042025 0.067210 0.111356 0.201112
2025-09-14 0.012503 0.018200 0.026877 0.041643 0.067449 0.113457 0.209040
2025-09-21 0.011983 0.017560 0.026126 0.040855 0.066917 0.114086 0.213986
2025-09-28 0.011766 0.017386 0.026112 0.041309 0.068627 0.119023 0.228419
2025-10-05 0.011460 0.017060 0.025837 0.041298 0.069482 0.122376 0.239779